Description

This analysis provides a forecast of QNT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 62.341137 69.829084 77.581281 86.184932 95.444747 105.089937 115.874701
2025-02-16 52.377297 63.552984 75.754676 89.971211 105.984861 123.372689 143.586092
2025-02-23 45.671013 58.651841 73.358294 91.062291 111.604071 134.502096 161.766120
2025-03-02 39.194128 53.106197 69.418886 89.645701 113.737029 141.208336 174.588721
2025-03-09 34.392983 48.948289 66.553273 88.958603 116.253995 147.982951 187.194826
2025-03-16 30.700447 45.749025 64.479456 88.884243 119.215988 155.070194 200.029697
2025-03-23 28.823959 44.660117 64.849152 91.667352 125.541655 166.121881 217.594665
2025-03-30 26.371444 42.564502 63.727820 92.398329 129.204228 173.884134 231.198676
2025-04-06 24.195193 40.641762 62.657878 93.044862 132.650040 181.319975 244.399544
2025-04-13 21.212308 37.321450 59.486847 90.728760 132.138864 183.714336 251.312215
2025-04-20 20.309026 36.929174 60.243682 93.585469 138.288946 194.473099 268.665558
2025-04-27 19.061388 35.913526 60.045659 95.087552 142.635012 202.955053 283.223581
2025-05-04 17.570641 34.446636 59.170222 95.673225 145.844767 210.132634 296.381159
2025-05-11 16.993876 34.372502 60.287800 99.041554 152.829309 222.270832 316.002950
2025-05-18 15.910533 33.384856 59.986195 100.353283 157.006235 230.770335 331.020682
2025-05-25 14.193835 31.199166 57.762914 98.806594 157.192786 233.995605 339.234504
2025-06-01 12.839620 29.503195 56.173423 98.076104 158.426130 238.552493 349.158601
2025-06-08 11.755432 28.180233 55.076895 97.995246 160.512997 244.220802 360.543493
2025-06-15 11.411788 28.167470 56.037998 100.977229 166.936431 255.748000 379.707304
2025-06-22 10.642455 27.295678 55.563925 101.760031 170.221383 263.057821 393.355585
2025-06-29 9.915564 26.437392 55.057693 102.452355 173.355645 270.167725 406.775662
2025-07-06 8.679457 24.452494 52.563423 99.971809 171.813917 270.826055 411.549595
2025-07-13 8.488647 24.566205 53.614791 103.031167 178.371137 282.657507 431.375604